Tuesday, January 4, 2011

STRUCTURE OF LEARNING

The blog is structured in a way so that it can take aboard, new comers as well as  informed audience, and apprise them with current market situation.  To cater for both classes, we initially jump right into business discussion as it relates to the market, while always keeping in mind the main objective of this blog; ascertaining short term and long term demand and pricing trends.  However, during the course of our discussions, we may delineate a course outline as well.  This will serve the professional, in better analyzing the structure of the value chain, and also defined metric for basing pricing decisions.  We will incorporate this outline during the course of our discussions. 

Acronyms are used often in the business discussion, therefore, some to be kept in mind for better comprehension of the value chain are as follows:
ACP                Asian Contract Price
NAC                North American Contract Price
EUC                European Contract Price
NA                  North America
EU                   Europe
MEG                Mono Ethylene Glycol
MX                  Mixed Xylenene
PX                   Paraxylene
PTA                 Purified Terepthalic acid
PET                 Polyethyleneterepthalate
OR                   Operating Rates
FC                   Fixed Cost
VC                   Variable Cost
POY                Partially oriented yarn
FDY                Fully Drawn Yarn
DTY                Drawn Texturized yarn
PSF                 Polyester Staple Fiber
Ktpa                Kilo Tons Per annum
DEN                Denier
dTEX               decitex
BCF                 Bulk Continuous Filament
PC                   Polyester Cotton
CT                   Cotton

VALUE CHAIN
In the simplest of terms, it would be good to make note of the fact, that plastics i.e., PET, PVC, PP etc have an origin from crude oil.  On one side of the refinery operations Napthalene is produced via hydrocracking from a wide range of refinery feedstocks.  Next a BTX (Benzene, Toulene, Xylene) extractor, which is also an aromatic complex, convert naphtha, from a variety of sources, and pyrolysis gasoline into the basic petrochemical intermediates: benzene, toluene, and xylenes. Conventional PX technology is based on the isomerisation of mixed xylenes. High purity product can be obtained using crystallisation or selective adsorptive separation.  Next PTA is produced by the catalytic liquid phase oxidation of paraxylene in acetic acid, in the presence of air.  On the other side of the refinery operations most ethylene used for petrochemical applications is produced by steam cracking of naphtha or natural gas liquids. 

From the above stated information, technical jargon as it may appear to many readers, what needs to be understood from a commercial standpoint is which operations are predecessor to whom.  It is this value chain, which defines the supply slackness and tightness at any given point in time, which again impacts two variables; supply/demand, and pricing orientation. 

OUTCOMES
So two learning’s that I would want the readers to take away from this discussion are
  1. Understanding the acronyms
  2. A reasonable understanding of the manufacturing value chain to better understand the supply chain.